NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb191a209ec4310930e2e1607aa739f883321141cdf0874c2b1641f8b73fddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 9,250$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.38 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 7,816$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.11 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 58c | 5,157$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.6 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 4,810$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,940$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Over | 49c | 1,839$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.64 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,387$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.44 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Over | 46c | 804.58$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.47 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 787.21$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 49c | 741.2$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.19 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 718.14$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 691.84$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.19 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 43c | 620.58$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.73 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 51c | 609.89$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 57c | 602.71$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.54 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 551.87$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…2ef2backed Over | 55c | 499.87$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…156bbacked Under | 45c | 483.67$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 431.61$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 47c | 277.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 55c | 268.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 46c | 174.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 43c | 123.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 118.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 42c | 117.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…ccc9backed Under | 55c | 115.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 52c | 111.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 101.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Over | 44c | 100.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 94.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Over | 46c | 90.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 45c | 85.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 56c | 59.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 47.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 44.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Over | 54c | 43.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 36.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 56c | 33.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…a279backed Under | 52c | 33.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Over | 44c | 31.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 47c | 30.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 56c | 30.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 41c | 29.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 58c | 29.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Under | 56c | 28.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 46c | 28.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Over | 56c | 25.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Under | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…b5e1backed Under | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Under | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.