TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0271…156b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$92.29
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.55
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.65
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54.77
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$274
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.15
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+53.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.7%+$48.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$100.71
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$183.05
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$86.1
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$105.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$190.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Will Bournemouth beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+61.1%+$23.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.59
Will CS Cristal vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bergs vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$334.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.