Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6278b4e47e53f6947340e935e1f1dd9f7e6b6d5c58b4bb4def235d20296004d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,327 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 56c | 47,056$26,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,704.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 14,668$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.14 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 9,500$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.07 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 8,861$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.67 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 6,639$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.65 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 30c | 6,347$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.63 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 4,799$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.59 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.01 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 44c | 3,431$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 2,865$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.85 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 30c | 2,299$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…c6a4backed Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 33c | 1,711$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.1 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 37c | 1,359$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 41c | 1,221$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 44c | 1,203$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 56c | 999$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 26c | 962.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 899.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 70c | 857.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 41c | 621.29$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 379.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 41c | 319.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 45c | 292.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 234.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Over | 44c | 234.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 44c | 234.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Under | 57c | 228.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 224.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Over | 42c | 224.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Over | 44c | 221.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 64c | 179.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 44c | 172.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 31c | 169.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 80c | 161.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Under | 55c | 146.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Under | 55c | 146.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Over | 44c | 140.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 122.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 56c | 119.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Over | 43c | 118.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 72c | 114.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Over | 43c | 110.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 44c | 107.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 77c | 100.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…d1cfbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 56c | 87.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…fd20backed Under | 70c | 86.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 45c | 80.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Over | 44c | 77.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 30c | 75.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 46c | 70.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 20c | 58.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…ad13backed Under | 61c | 57.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 51.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 31c | 49.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Under | 57c | 45.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 41c | 44.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 38cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 34c | 43.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.