TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fe0…947c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$14.34
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$37.77
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60.78
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37.5%+$131.09
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$87.83
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+106.7%+$155.97
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.7
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$102.28
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.49
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$112.18
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$157.34
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$98.42
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$47.56
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$66.28
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$26.56
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+95.6%+$41.55
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.1%+$364.89
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.28
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85%+$9.05
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.75
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+103.3%+$47.45
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.7%+$16.16
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.71
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.45
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$191.38
Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.36
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$76.46
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$297.37
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$256.77
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$34.87
Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Lightning vs. Wildbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.86
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$134.83
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.83
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+160.7%+$437.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$939.91
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$336.74
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+33.5%+$110.6
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.2%+$160.23
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+155.2%+$131.78
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.16
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+57.9%+$97.29
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$246.82
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$459.86
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+380.8%+$39.29
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.23
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+70.4%+$25.03
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+203.3%+$83.91
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.48
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25.9%+$8.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Luciano Darderibacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.8%+$6.29
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$25.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.33
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$10.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Borussia Mönchengladbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.