TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,191 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42ad…6b11backed FUT Esports2c11,104$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports53c7,857$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis46c5,727$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.7219455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FUT Esports36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis64c4,422$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.9232552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Astralis66c4,167$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.0615760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked FUT Esports5c3,825$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis60c3,377$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.771,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis77c3,049$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.742,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed FUT Esports60c2,953$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.7728248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis41c2,896$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.381,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis78c2,669$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.189153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis42c2,347$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.1772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports40c2,225$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.971,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed FUT Esports54c2,188$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.4719549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports22c2,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed FUT Esports57c1,771$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.752564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports21c1,550$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.491,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed FUT Esports54c1,504$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.0211252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Astralis43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9916149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked FUT Esports64c1,470$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.88444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Astralis69c1,401$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.6565546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports38c1,384$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.075,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis39c1,340$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis60c1,339$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.091,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked FUT Esports31c1,307$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-72.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Astralis45c1,278$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7824944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed FUT Esports9c1,263$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6621528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked FUT Esports57c1,228$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.985545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Astralis49c1,227$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.7417850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis45c1,072$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.921,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed FUT Esports55c1,053$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.1616947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed FUT Esports54c999.98$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9924339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis60c950$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3824,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis70c949$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FUT Esports12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed FUT Esports23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis69c867.62$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.456,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports27c836.83$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4147738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed FUT Esports28c708.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed FUT Esports62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43414847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis67c672.34$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.367,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d7…6fe4backed FUT Esports30c667.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed FUT Esports39c639.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports50c613.19$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.462,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Astralis53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.83,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Astralis52c572.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6128254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis62c548.52$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.994,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed FUT Esports56c455$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.83040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd77f…05a4backed Astralis43c455$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.353767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis42c450$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26142050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1854…be98backed Astralis44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed FUT Esports56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Astralis46c444.02$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.519565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports59c420.9$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.15,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Astralis45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports7c399.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked FUT Esports21c395.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked Astralis69c358.57$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1612946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Astralis66c312.45$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2317949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports53c300.72$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.385,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FUT Esports37c299.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed FUT Esports37c271.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked FUT Esports56c254$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2410945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Astralis47c200.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.434555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed FUT Esports25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked FUT Esports49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked FUT Esports55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7162…f2b3backed FUT Esports8c199.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7f…37abbacked FUT Esports13c189.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8270%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis39c175.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5556732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed FUT Esports37c174.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0e…9f75backed FUT Esports7c168.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.395752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked FUT Esports18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports35c162.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7963541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FUT Esports40c155.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.496543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FUT Esports59c155$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.338868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Astralis44c152.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2718342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis42c148.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.631,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461f…8719backed Astralis66c139.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6112544.8%56 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked FUT Esports27c134.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.769624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed FUT Esports26c134.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.385248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed FUT Esports43c127.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3229934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed FUT Esports33c122.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked FUT Esports55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6625337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed FUT Esports15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.329465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d5…853dbacked Astralis45c111.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.95255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Astralis45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b0…da5cbacked Astralis61c110.76$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.372951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed FUT Esports45c110.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed Astralis61c107.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.159654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked FUT Esports51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked FUT Esports11c100.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed FUT Esports30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed FUT Esports31c99.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.998145.7%37 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Astralis45c99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.454245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis70c98.86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.861,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…4bc4backed FUT Esports37c97.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.981910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.