CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bcfc9889090e5decc5b5e930e85fbd9e832dd1eb2e36b9065b9744374ef0fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,191 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42ad…6b11backed FUT Esports | 2c | 11,104$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports | 53c | 7,857$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis | 46c | 5,727$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.72 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 64c | 4,422$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.92 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Astralis | 66c | 4,167$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.06 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked FUT Esports | 5c | 3,825$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 60c | 3,377$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.77 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 77c | 3,049$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.74 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed FUT Esports | 60c | 2,953$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.77 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 41c | 2,896$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.38 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis | 78c | 2,669$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.18 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 42c | 2,347$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.17 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports | 40c | 2,225$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.97 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed FUT Esports | 54c | 2,188$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.47 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed FUT Esports | 57c | 1,771$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports | 21c | 1,550$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.49 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,504$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.02 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Astralis | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 1,470$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Astralis | 69c | 1,401$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports | 38c | 1,384$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 39c | 1,340$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 60c | 1,339$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.09 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…019dbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 1,307$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 45c | 1,278$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed FUT Esports | 9c | 1,263$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked FUT Esports | 57c | 1,228$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.98 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Astralis | 49c | 1,227$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.74 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 45c | 1,072$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed FUT Esports | 55c | 1,053$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.16 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed FUT Esports | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 60c | 950$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 70c | 949$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FUT Esports | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed FUT Esports | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 69c | 867.62$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports | 27c | 836.83$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed FUT Esports | 28c | 708.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed FUT Esports | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 67c | 672.34$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6fe4backed FUT Esports | 30c | 667.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed FUT Esports | 39c | 639.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 613.19$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.46 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Astralis | 52c | 572.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 62c | 548.52$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed FUT Esports | 56c | 455$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Astralis | 43c | 455$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Astralis | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed FUT Esports | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Astralis | 46c | 444.02$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.51 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 420.9$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Astralis | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 7c | 399.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked FUT Esports | 21c | 395.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Astralis | 69c | 358.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Astralis | 66c | 312.45$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 300.72$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed FUT Esports | 37c | 299.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed FUT Esports | 37c | 271.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 254$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Astralis | 47c | 200.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed FUT Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…f2b3backed FUT Esports | 8c | 199.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7f…37abbacked FUT Esports | 13c | 189.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis | 39c | 175.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed FUT Esports | 37c | 174.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed FUT Esports | 7c | 168.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked FUT Esports | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports | 35c | 162.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FUT Esports | 40c | 155.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FUT Esports | 59c | 155$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Astralis | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 42c | 148.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Astralis | 66c | 139.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked FUT Esports | 27c | 134.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed FUT Esports | 26c | 134.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed FUT Esports | 43c | 127.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed FUT Esports | 33c | 122.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed FUT Esports | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…853dbacked Astralis | 45c | 111.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Astralis | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked Astralis | 61c | 110.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed FUT Esports | 45c | 110.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Astralis | 61c | 107.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked FUT Esports | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked FUT Esports | 11c | 100.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed FUT Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed FUT Esports | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Astralis | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis | 70c | 98.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…4bc4backed FUT Esports | 37c | 97.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.