TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$450,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,250 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fe9…706abacked FUT Esports66c22,240$14,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,681.0116448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis34c18,095$6,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,919.7372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed FUT Esports65c17,207$11,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,220.2822142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed FUT Esports67c15,867$10,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,631.1123355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Astralis64c15,683$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.032240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,05025842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports1c10,780$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5923234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports7c10,500$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73758651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis60c9,681$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.4275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed FUT Esports40c9,155$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.055048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4899…c212backed Astralis66c9,064$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked FUT Esports56c8,998$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,996.95341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis35c8,555$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.9337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis35c7,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.9112441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Astralis34c7,033$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.5122448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked FUT Esports12c6,216$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.274928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed FUT Esports65c6,187$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.3111643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis62c6,156$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.989153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis57c6,077$3,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.741,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis54c6,059$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.292,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked FUT Esports66c6,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.9912736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Astralis34c5,713$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.5919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked FUT Esports38c5,580$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.3829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis59c5,239$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.5532552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed FUT Esports32c5,152$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.3361837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed FUT Esports0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports65c4,891$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.6465650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81e…c4b9backed Astralis34c4,844$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis57c4,463$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.291,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports37c4,390$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.122,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed FUT Esports64c4,255$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.3845848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Astralis38c4,130$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.2215760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Astralis35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked FUT Esports65c3,750$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.4810138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FUT Esports59c3,700$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.9728344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FUT Esports62c3,493$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.142142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed FUT Esports41c3,425$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Astralis34c3,200$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed FUT Esports64c3,185$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Astralis34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.986553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked FUT Esports39c2,959$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.998444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked FUT Esports40c2,958$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.24630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed FUT Esports65c2,921$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.492326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed FUT Esports65c2,900$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8852634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports56c2,788$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5751,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis34c2,781$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.561,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports34c2,756$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.455,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed FUT Esports5c2,739$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6422342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked FUT Esports68c2,584$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71dd…31ebbacked Astralis34c2,515$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.232075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Astralis60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis34c2,500$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports66c2,492$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.125,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports40c2,448$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.217,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked FUT Esports64c2,369$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.693759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed FUT Esports39c2,325$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.7524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis46c2,303$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.611,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked FUT Esports65c2,270$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.527530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis42c2,184$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.1952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Astralis41c2,176$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis52c2,171$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.5888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FUT Esports21c2,168$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5732930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis59c2,057$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis34c2,050$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3531,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FUT Esports64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FUT Esports34c1,750$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.51,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis41c1,717$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.931,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f29…e319backed FUT Esports66c1,700$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed FUT Esports3c1,700$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x100c…e8d5backed Astralis33c1,685$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9097…d404backed Astralis62c1,629$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Astralis61c1,610$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.094158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed FUT Esports56c1,600$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89212742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FUT Esports67c1,596$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.321,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed FUT Esports55c1,583$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.6415249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed FUT Esports38c1,580$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.42846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c8…92b2backed FUT Esports65c1,578$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Astralis55c1,550$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.58847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Astralis44c1,545$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.2513937.4%52 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked FUT Esports35c1,500$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53016240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed FUT Esports40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis60c1,500$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.1398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Astralis34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.868751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Astralis67c1,462$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.239258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Astralis35c1,415$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.754264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis35c1,384$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.1947147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked FUT Esports38c1,318$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis36c1,309$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.656732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Astralis32c1,223$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.8239239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked FUT Esports41c1,219$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7419022.6%43 W · 147 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports40c1,213$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.33,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49255236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis35c1,143$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.722045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b3…507fbacked Astralis32c1,133$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.731346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis57c1,122$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.613,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Astralis35c1,106$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.5810952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Astralis62c1,100$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1211143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports69c1,080$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891b…67b5backed FUT Esports2c1,056$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.