CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x357e1764f13aa8f155474ffc7742cccc04745e87e34562e9ff169f095ed766f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,250 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked FUT Esports | 66c | 22,240$14,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,681.01 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 34c | 18,095$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,919.73 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed FUT Esports | 65c | 17,207$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220.28 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed FUT Esports | 67c | 15,867$10,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,631.11 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Astralis | 64c | 15,683$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 1c | 10,780$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports | 7c | 10,500$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis | 60c | 9,681$5,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.42 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed FUT Esports | 40c | 9,155$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.05 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…c212backed Astralis | 66c | 9,064$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked FUT Esports | 56c | 8,998$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.9 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 35c | 8,555$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560.93 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.91 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Astralis | 34c | 7,033$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.51 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked FUT Esports | 12c | 6,216$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.27 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed FUT Esports | 65c | 6,187$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.31 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis | 62c | 6,156$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.98 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 57c | 6,077$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.74 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 54c | 6,059$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.29 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked FUT Esports | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Astralis | 34c | 5,713$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.59 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 5,580$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.38 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 59c | 5,239$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.55 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed FUT Esports | 32c | 5,152$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.33 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed FUT Esports | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 4,891$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.64 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…c4b9backed Astralis | 34c | 4,844$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 57c | 4,463$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.29 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 4,390$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.12 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FUT Esports | 64c | 4,255$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.38 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Astralis | 38c | 4,130$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.22 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 3,750$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.48 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed FUT Esports | 59c | 3,700$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.97 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FUT Esports | 62c | 3,493$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.1 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed FUT Esports | 41c | 3,425$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Astralis | 34c | 3,200$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed FUT Esports | 64c | 3,185$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Astralis | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 2,959$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.99 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked FUT Esports | 40c | 2,958$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.2 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed FUT Esports | 65c | 2,921$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed FUT Esports | 65c | 2,900$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 2,788$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 34c | 2,781$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.56 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports | 34c | 2,756$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed FUT Esports | 5c | 2,739$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 2,584$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.2 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…31ebbacked Astralis | 34c | 2,515$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.23 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Astralis | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 66c | 2,492$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 40c | 2,448$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked FUT Esports | 64c | 2,369$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed FUT Esports | 39c | 2,325$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.75 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 46c | 2,303$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.61 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 2,270$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.5 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 42c | 2,184$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.19 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Astralis | 41c | 2,176$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 52c | 2,171$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.58 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FUT Esports | 21c | 2,168$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.57 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis | 59c | 2,057$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.22 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FUT Esports | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FUT Esports | 34c | 1,750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 41c | 1,717$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.93 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…e319backed FUT Esports | 66c | 1,700$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed FUT Esports | 3c | 1,700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…e8d5backed Astralis | 33c | 1,685$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9097…d404backed Astralis | 62c | 1,629$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Astralis | 61c | 1,610$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed FUT Esports | 56c | 1,600$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FUT Esports | 67c | 1,596$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.32 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed FUT Esports | 55c | 1,583$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.64 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed FUT Esports | 38c | 1,580$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…92b2backed FUT Esports | 65c | 1,578$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Astralis | 55c | 1,550$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Astralis | 44c | 1,545$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.25 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked FUT Esports | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed FUT Esports | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 60c | 1,500$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.13 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Astralis | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.86 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Astralis | 67c | 1,462$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.23 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Astralis | 35c | 1,415$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.75 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 35c | 1,384$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.19 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 1,318$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis | 36c | 1,309$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.6 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Astralis | 32c | 1,223$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.82 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports | 40c | 1,213$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.3 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis | 35c | 1,143$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.7 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Astralis | 32c | 1,133$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 57c | 1,122$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Astralis | 35c | 1,106$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.58 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Astralis | 62c | 1,100$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.12 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 1,080$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.2 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…67b5backed FUT Esports | 2c | 1,056$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.