TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,435 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis34c16,000$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,559.911,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports64c15,542$9,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,875.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed FUT Esports67c15,009$10,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,054.895048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis51c10,508$5,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.473,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed FUT Esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FUT Esports28c9,383$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.0930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis36c6,383$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.1224846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Astralis33c6,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,02021941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FUT Esports47c5,095$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.5219455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf6…0d60backed FUT Esports1c5,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012439.5%49 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Astralis49c4,667$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.6915760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports65c4,536$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.2781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis36c4,117$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.372,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis35c4,012$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.171,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked FUT Esports59c3,940$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.592955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis35c3,183$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.2183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked Astralis33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.35545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis35c3,003$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.8646949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Astralis34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis36c3,000$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.622550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FUT Esports66c2,999$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.6497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis75c2,663$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.187,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis56c2,649$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.411,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports65c2,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62533452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FUT Esports68c2,450$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.525555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked FUT Esports8c2,442$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed FUT Esports65c2,320$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5089954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis35c2,085$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.4161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis55c1,922$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.61,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Astralis33c1,794$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.0835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed FUT Esports66c1,700$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12212742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked FUT Esports54c1,671$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7414144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports62c1,586$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.755,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed FUT Esports66c1,480$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.81560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Astralis35c1,426$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.198050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed FUT Esports55c1,381$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.5969635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis45c1,251$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.899153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f72…adc6backed Astralis68c1,212$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.97977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked FUT Esports7c1,175$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2219022.6%43 W · 147 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports65c1,019$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.565,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Astralis52c1,004$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.775248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed FUT Esports66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2cb…d235backed FUT Esports45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed FUT Esports64c906.2$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57828254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis55c900.45$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed FUT Esports45c892.11$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports46c890$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked FUT Esports55c887.98$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Astralis35c851.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.0924346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed FUT Esports12c834.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Astralis58c800$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.123,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis61c799.99$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.884,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed FUT Esports65c794.81$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.814151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports61c749.99$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.492,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Astralis55c732.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.952947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed FUT Esports23c672.43$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.662326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+53.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed FUT Esports48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed FUT Esports12c624.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7431444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports54c616.72$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.946,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis53c607.66$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.691,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x106f…d28fbacked FUT Esports63c601.18$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.794763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed FUT Esports65c599.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9944648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed FUT Esports23c599.96$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9913332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked FUT Esports65c579.07$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.45655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed FUT Esports12c564$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4893261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FUT Esports65c559.98$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9945455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ad…6b11backed Astralis35c556.77$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.951030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Astralis40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0710345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.995,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed FUT Esports66c490.18$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5216947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed FUT Esports66c472.94$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1417949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed FUT Esports27c450$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12226451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Astralis36c420$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.811644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed FUT Esports57c412.65$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1631654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Astralis46c408.7$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.733457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed FUT Esports66c406.71$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26712545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked FUT Esports67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26815063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed FUT Esports65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis35c398.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.191,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed FUT Esports66c371.52$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked FUT Esports53c366.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked FUT Esports65c364.17$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.346952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed FUT Esports56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.69246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed FUT Esports4c340.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8425416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed FUT Esports65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed FUT Esports66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed FUT Esports66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FUT Esports66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19849849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed FUT Esports68c294.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FUT Esports43c281.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8996543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a91…4e55backed Astralis68c269.53$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.515152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed FUT Esports50c262.81$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2821528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed FUT Esports59c254.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports54c229.8$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.764,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed FUT Esports69c226.19$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553243.8%14 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed FUT Esports66c219.14$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.635048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Astralis36c212$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9815056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed FUT Esports65c209.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked FUT Esports47c209.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.864555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.