TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x891b…67b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT4332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$21.42
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group Bbacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: NIP vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: K27 vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+264.9%+$55.63
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$34.2
Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$39.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37.3%+$30.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.69
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$160
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$492.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.