CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f32453a3b2b6241d29dda2b19d314508991abebef91c432a5845615212ed91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof 33, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,162 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Nemiga | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga | 45c | 1,183$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.69 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked 33 | 50c | 1,057$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Nemiga | 60c | 667.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.88 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked 33 | 26c | 551.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Nemiga | 34c | 547.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.67 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked 33 | 48c | 524.34$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 33 | 56c | 508.06$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.21 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 41c | 423.93$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 33 | 71c | 420.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 33 | 41c | 340$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 33 | 53c | 327.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed 33 | 41c | 311$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nemiga | 57c | 309$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Nemiga | 69c | 308.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked 33 | 50c | 307.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed 33 | 68c | 289.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed 33 | 48c | 268.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…73dabacked Nemiga | 33c | 263.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked 33 | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…67b5backed 33 | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed 33 | 74c | 235.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed 33 | 35c | 230.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Nemiga | 46c | 219.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed 33 | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Nemiga | 38c | 191$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 33 | 49c | 157.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 33 | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Nemiga | 55c | 148.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Nemiga | 24c | 139.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 33 | 36c | 133.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Nemiga | 52c | 127.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed 33 | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Nemiga | 55c | 109.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Nemiga | 56c | 108.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed 33 | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Nemiga | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Nemiga | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked 33 | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Nemiga | 39c | 98.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…0a1abacked Nemiga | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nemiga | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nemiga | 53c | 79.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 33 | 19c | 78.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Nemiga | 60c | 75.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed 33 | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed Nemiga | 63c | 70.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nemiga | 37c | 70.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 33 | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed 33 | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga | 29c | 51.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked 33 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nemiga | 76c | 48.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed 33 | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Nemiga | 59c | 42.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 33 | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed 33 | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…bec1backed 33 | 67c | 34.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Nemiga | 56c | 29.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked 33 | 40c | 24.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…49f3backed Nemiga | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nemiga | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Nemiga | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Nemiga | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Nemiga | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Nemiga | 69c | 19.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nemiga | 79c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner33 won
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.