CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11720453ddb712c420fea7516afe0cd0f783e4864b4bcf569fd36cab67747f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof 33, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,772 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga | 48c | 880.86$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked 33 | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga | 51c | 746.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.93 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…73dabacked 33 | 53c | 704.43$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Nemiga | 73c | 343.74$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed 33 | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed 33 | 65c | 338.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Nemiga | 50c | 330$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked 33 | 36c | 280.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nemiga | 68c | 217.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 54c | 191.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 49c | 165.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Nemiga | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Nemiga | 49c | 140.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 33 | 22c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nemiga | 42c | 114.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 33 | 32c | 100.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Nemiga | 36c | 91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Nemiga | 71c | 82.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Nemiga | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nemiga | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed 33 | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed 33 | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed Nemiga | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed 33 | 66c | 38.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…8afebacked 33 | 40c | 37.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed 33 | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Nemiga | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nemiga | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga | 53c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked 33 | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Nemiga | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: 33 vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner33 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.