CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd78f238f6cc01dacdad57a8af4a26d2eef1c37c078c2f7c99ba39d277a3036a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof paiN, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,438 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e6a…5b18backed paiN | 37c | 53,434$19,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,770.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 32,096$19,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,196.32 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 30,405$19,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.3 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 20,045$14,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.95 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed paiN | 16c | 19,675$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.56 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked paiN | 49c | 15,000$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed paiN | 43c | 10,550$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed paiN | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed paiN | 38c | 7,012$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.51 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 6,626$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 5,999$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 5,256$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.66 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 5,249$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.27 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 4,485$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.08 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 31c | 4,160$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed paiN | 3c | 4,140$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.19 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed paiN | 36c | 3,826$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.22 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 3,730$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.92 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,279$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 40c | 3,173$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.09 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed paiN | 37c | 3,100$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN | 37c | 3,060$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.2 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed paiN | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed paiN | 31c | 2,981$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.95 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed paiN | 20c | 2,819$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.37 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…4977backed paiN | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 40c | 2,534$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 2,441$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.19 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 42c | 2,413$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 2,325$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,271$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.48 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN | 41c | 2,167$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.72 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked paiN | 37c | 2,166$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.72 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed paiN | 35c | 1,994$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,876$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.62 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed paiN | 42c | 1,671$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 43c | 1,658$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.72 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.3 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,448$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.93 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN | 45c | 1,431$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 21c | 1,337$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked paiN | 37c | 1,336$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed paiN | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.78 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed paiN | 39c | 1,277$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,273$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,235$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,077$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.39 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…32f3backed paiN | 47c | 1,067$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed paiN | 19c | 1,043$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked paiN | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed paiN | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked paiN | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 999.65$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.87 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 883.03$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.53 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 872.1$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.45 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 841.37$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.09 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed paiN | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 780.86$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 777$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.49 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed paiN | 39c | 733.57$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.09 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed paiN | 38c | 718.33$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked paiN | 38c | 707.89$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 688.81$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked paiN | 38c | 659.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked paiN | 35c | 641$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN | 41c | 634.64$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed paiN | 37c | 599.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…2d6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 572$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked paiN | 27c | 556.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…8980backed paiN | 9c | 548.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed paiN | 18c | 531.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed paiN | 38c | 527.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…2da0backed paiN | 37c | 525$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 519.96$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed paiN | 18c | 518.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 29c | 504.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed paiN | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed paiN | 36c | 499.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed paiN | 38c | 465.79$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed paiN | 41c | 464.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed paiN | 25c | 445.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked paiN | 34c | 444$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 441.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 441.62$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 422.28$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.