CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc654fb79fc1faf78992d784cbb4a07c6cff862998b25ab65c6c3f920c00145f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof paiN, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,678 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 45c | 6,738$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.36 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 6,484$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.28 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed paiN | 46c | 6,168$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.45 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked paiN | 45c | 6,148$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.05 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN | 47c | 6,089$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.58 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 5,309$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.96 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 51c | 5,129$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.44 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 5,011$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.79 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 4,953$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.24 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 4,661$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.29 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 4,360$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.55 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked paiN | 49c | 4,049$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.72 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked paiN | 56c | 3,830$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.96 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed paiN | 58c | 3,430$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.76 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed paiN | 47c | 2,840$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.36 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed paiN | 58c | 2,812$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.63 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,573$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.72 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,507$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.21 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 39c | 2,444$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.37 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,114$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.51 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed paiN | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,690$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.2 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,483$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.33 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed paiN | 48c | 1,196$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,054$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked paiN | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed paiN | 49c | 855.98$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.23 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed paiN | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN | 18c | 800$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked paiN | 38c | 748$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.67 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed paiN | 52c | 699.98$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 683.67$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed paiN | 50c | 663.89$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.67 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed paiN | 56c | 651.38$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…4e59backed paiN | 44c | 621$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 620$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.6 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN | 45c | 594.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.18 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 580.51$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN | 42c | 574.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked paiN | 44c | 550.74$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.43 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN | 33c | 527$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 526.81$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.29 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked paiN | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 492.35$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…91a2backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 488$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked paiN | 60c | 480.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN | 50c | 425$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 50c | 423.66$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed paiN | 26c | 401.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed paiN | 45c | 377.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 369.02$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 365.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed paiN | 45c | 359.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 34c | 329$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 319.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…2808backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 282$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…1af0backed paiN | 42c | 272$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 265.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59a…7715backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 254$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1c94backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 242$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4ff4backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 237$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 236.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…028cbacked paiN | 42c | 231$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…043abacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 229$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 227.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…7739backed paiN | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b3eabacked paiN | 42c | 217$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed paiN | 37c | 210$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed paiN | 48c | 209.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 59.2%161 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN | 47c | 204.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…a0eebacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 203$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed paiN | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 474 | 41.6%197 W · 277 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed paiN | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b2…ca4fbacked paiN | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…273ebacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 193$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed paiN | 52c | 191.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed paiN | 46c | 189.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed paiN | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…e47dbacked paiN | 42c | 182$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed paiN | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…e08fbacked paiN | 45c | 169$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 163.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…e053backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 152.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…1d91backed paiN | 47c | 151.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…55a4backed paiN | 42c | 141$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked paiN | 38c | 132.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed paiN | 47c | 129.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed paiN | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 116.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN | 28c | 116$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 114$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked paiN | 58c | 110.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.