CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe342115dad828b1c023d3151286d12d4b3bc844a32f7b4584e6d54d2e6b3b7b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof paiN, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,121 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.96 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN | 36c | 19,416$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,989.64 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 12,427$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.8 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 11,331$7,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.66 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 11,211$8,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.48 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked paiN | 30c | 7,004$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.18 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 6,545$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.33 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked paiN | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 5,359$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.99 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 33c | 4,659$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.65 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 33c | 4,594$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.18 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,200$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.23 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,002$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.66 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 2,840$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed paiN | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 2,575$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.01 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 2,420$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.71 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,994$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.32 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed paiN | 37c | 1,819$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.04 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN | 29c | 1,705$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 37c | 1,699$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed paiN | 38c | 1,561$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.18 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,252$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN | 33c | 1,135$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed paiN | 38c | 1,047$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.79 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed paiN | 23c | 1,043$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed paiN | 24c | 999.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.42 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked paiN | 22c | 995$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.75 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN | 19c | 808$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 781.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 778.09$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 769.12$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN | 16c | 720.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 661.77$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 554.98$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 530$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked paiN | 37c | 530$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed paiN | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 511$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 490$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked paiN | 38c | 490$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed paiN | 38c | 460$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 460$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed paiN | 13c | 403.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed paiN | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed paiN | 34c | 363.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 361.74$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked paiN | 33c | 350.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed paiN | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 339.47$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 313.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 313.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa436…3c2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 307$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed paiN | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…e053backed paiN | 32c | 275.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed paiN | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 243.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 33c | 242.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…0310backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 210$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 208.88$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 202.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…853dbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 201.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked paiN | 37c | 201.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…a6c8backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 190$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 183.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…a7f6backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 169$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…db6abacked paiN | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a7backed paiN | 37c | 164$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked paiN | 25c | 140.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN | 27c | 139.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed paiN | 23c | 131.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…f86fbacked paiN | 37c | 131$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 130.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 125.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237d…dbd4backed paiN | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 120.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed paiN | 33c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 105.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 101.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 99.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…2eefbacked paiN | 37c | 98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked paiN | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 84.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 83.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked paiN | 16c | 83.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked paiN | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 78.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.