CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ba0cd85de9a872e6475e5e80d7fe986004120a3aaa74cabf11b916a0a05c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,973 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 3,136$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.24 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 75c | 1,022$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 76c | 813.74$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 77c | 741.06$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 47c | 644.36$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 75c | 504$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 377.88$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 50c | 238$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 20c | 229.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 26c | 185$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 49c | 174.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 54c | 174.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 149.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Over | 50c | 111.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 80.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Over | 44c | 73.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 44c | 60.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…0436backed Over | 48c | 57.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…d1e7backed Over | 54c | 55.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 25c | 44.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 51c | 29.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 313 | 39.6%124 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.