TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c01…0436

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$102.96
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.51
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.06
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+437.6%+$85.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$39.19
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.73
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.44
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.52
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+43.1%+$12.92
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.15
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.77
St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.35
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Xinyu Wang vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.09
Brasilia: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Gustavo Heidebacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+271.9%+$55.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cubabacked Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+348.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+348.2%+$55.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.