Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b48f50c125a03227bf44e9006697453326573766f95df275364aa69a243b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 30c | 66,411$20,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,045.62 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 42,838$13,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,050.72 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 34,389$24,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,024.41 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 70c | 30,856$21,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256.84 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 69c | 27,097$18,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400.16 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 69c | 17,916$12,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 15,687$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781.04 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 26c | 15,385$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…7c6abacked Yes | 16c | 11,101$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked No | 70c | 9,972$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 6,492$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.32 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 67c | 5,577$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.47 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 5,092$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.16 | 513 | 49.3%253 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 5,056$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.88 | 261 | 40.2%105 W · 156 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 4,951$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.32 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 31c | 4,723$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 70c | 4,052$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 69c | 3,641$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.48 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,493$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.79 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Yes | 30c | 3,251$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 31c | 2,887$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 31c | 2,420$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 1,953$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.8 | 360 | 46.4%167 W · 193 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,783$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.44 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,510$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,185$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…8282backed Yes | 26c | 1,157$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 69c | 1,150$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Yes | 33c | 1,124$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…c36fbacked No | 70c | 1,080$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…74f8backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 20c | 949.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 32c | 942.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 11c | 932.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…2758backed Yes | 24c | 914.93$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 32c | 871.75$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 862.47$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 70c | 823.25$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 793.11$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 791.2$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.02 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 26c | 766.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 30c | 748.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked No | 70c | 714.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b7…5918backed Yes | 30c | 667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 31c | 640$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…6d09backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 22c | 549.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…a595backed Yes | 32c | 512.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed Yes | 30c | 495$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 24c | 486$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 482.83$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 439 | 55.4%243 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 28c | 482.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 17c | 449.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…301fbacked Yes | 10c | 443.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 5c | 437.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 31c | 430$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 6c | 415.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…55d4backed Yes | 31c | 415.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 26c | 401.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9e…ba25backed Yes | 31c | 398.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf552…a811backed Yes | 31c | 394.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2a…ad70backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…c15fbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 27c | 370.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 69c | 338.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 328.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 21c | 325.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 31c | 311.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 302.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 272 | 41.2%112 W · 160 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 12c | 296.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 23c | 290$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 69c | 275.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 269.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 30c | 257.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 26c | 251.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…4766backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 69c | 246.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 14c | 244$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 69c | 239.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 31c | 234.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 9c | 210.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed No | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 39.2%69 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.