Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a0d24ecbc97fae74fcdf6479f80eac887dc7098b62a8cd8b07cf3f45752e63e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,047,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,047,913 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 71c | 124,631$88,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,487.33 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 71c | 110,000$78,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,099.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 74,972$21,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,976.47 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 29c | 66,411$19,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,151.73 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 71c | 50,000$35,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,499.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 41,555$11,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,639.79 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 34,682$16,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,899.03 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 31c | 33,439$10,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,477.3 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 28,588$20,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,236.4 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,672.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 30c | 16,660$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,661.98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 71c | 16,474$11,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,685.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…dca2backed Yes | 59c | 16,000$9,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,587.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 71c | 14,549$10,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,307.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed No | 69c | 14,531$10,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,064.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 71c | 13,000$9,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 12,868$9,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.92 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 1c | 11,668$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked No | 15c | 9,990$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes | 28c | 8,864$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 8,861$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.48 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 77c | 8,753$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes | 62c | 8,372$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 30c | 7,079$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.18 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.98 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 29c | 5,258$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.18 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 4,821$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.7 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Yes | 63c | 4,622$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 29c | 4,413$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 27c | 4,372$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.25 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 69c | 3,855$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…2e9dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Yes | 30c | 3,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,220$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.05 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,050$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 69c | 2,946$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,555$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.96 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 71c | 2,466$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.56 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 61c | 2,460$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 24c | 2,425$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.79 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked No | 73c | 2,302$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 30c | 2,019$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.08 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 40c | 1,859$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.54 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 75c | 1,820$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.15 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 29c | 1,722$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.3 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 41c | 1,690$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 31c | 1,606$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.06 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,548$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 30c | 1,495$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.98 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,330$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.42 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 34c | 1,237$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.32 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 1,230$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.69 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Yes | 32c | 1,172$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5472…5b19backed No | 71c | 1,129$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 7c | 1,111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…f114backed Yes | 29c | 1,083$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 1,058$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.8 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 954.38$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.17 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…c36fbacked No | 73c | 908.72$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 29c | 893.76$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 886.88$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.44 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 71c | 813.06$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.03 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 67c | 800$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 29c | 792.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Yes | 27c | 741.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…0c39backed Yes | 78c | 708.85$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…07e5backed Yes | 29c | 703.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.78 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 30c | 699.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 696.05$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.28 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 29c | 690.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 42cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 68c | 670.46$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 29c | 651.79$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 62c | 646.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5f35backed No | 38c | 604.69$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 30c | 600.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.14 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.