TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc689…5f35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Cricket at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+115%+$20.39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+194%+$35.1
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.05
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$16.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+231.6%+$73.08
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$24.1
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$17.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.38
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$30.21
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.33
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$167.82
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.63
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+206.6%+$45.69
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.57
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.56
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.39
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$33.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.25
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$48.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.69
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+34.4%+$31.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.8%+$47.61
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.02
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.38
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.02
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$77.09
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$190.25
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$44.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.16
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+158.9%+$159.71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$25.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$40.68
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$131.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.