Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba2f00dd9f56c84a99fc0e1df77ba0e150f5064a0e064e09f619520314217231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Manchester City FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 53,051$24,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,183.79 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Burnley FC | 53c | 36,005$19,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,927.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Burnley FC | 55c | 34,355$18,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,407.17 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Burnley FC | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 28,143$12,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,074.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 20,019$9,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,408.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 19,570$9,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,197.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 61c | 9,993$6,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Burnley FC | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.46 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Burnley FC | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Burnley FC | 53c | 6,210$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Burnley FC | 56c | 5,031$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 4,890$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Burnley FC | 54c | 4,544$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 4,339$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.92 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Burnley FC | 56c | 4,035$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.44 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 4,022$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 3,283$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Burnley FC | 51c | 2,998$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Burnley FC | 54c | 2,650$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.6 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Burnley FC | 51c | 2,551$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.95 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Burnley FC | 54c | 2,521$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.41 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Burnley FC | 54c | 2,428$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.03 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Burnley FC | 46c | 2,097$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.85 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Burnley FC | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.46 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Burnley FC | 53c | 1,841$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.08 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Burnley FC | 56c | 1,728$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.84 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Burnley FC | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.92 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Burnley FC | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.92 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 1,655$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.15 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Burnley FC | 55c | 1,626$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 1,606$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 1,600$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.99 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 1,504$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.9 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 1,480$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.14 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 1,417$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.51 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Burnley FC | 56c | 1,291$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 1,076$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.56 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Burnley FC | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Manchester City FC | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Burnley FC | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 988.33$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.86 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Burnley FC | 55c | 940$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 895.85$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…a524backed Burnley FC | 56c | 872.46$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 869.55$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.6 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 824.85$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Manchester City FC | 56c | 726.6$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.49 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Burnley FC | 56c | 708.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.11 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 550.85$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.37 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Burnley FC | 57c | 547.47$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Burnley FC | 55c | 544.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Burnley FC | 53c | 491.66$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 455.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 439.39$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 435.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 432.12$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…c28fbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Burnley FC | 56c | 428.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 428.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Burnley FC | 56c | 425.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Manchester City FC | 55c | 423$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Burnley FC | 55c | 416.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Burnley FC | 56c | 399.47$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 392.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 386.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…3d54backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 383.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…f6a4backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 379.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Burnley FC | 54c | 358.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Burnley FC | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Burnley FC | 53c | 352.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Burnley FC | 56c | 350.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Burnley FC | 54c | 336.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 317.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Burnley FC | 55c | 315.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 313.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Burnley FC | 57c | 306.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2091backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 300.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…884cbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 297.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 287.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 285.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Burnley FC | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 249.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…a02bbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 247.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Burnley FC | 41c | 233.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 230.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Burnley FC | 56c | 229.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 220$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…ab88backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 218.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…8adcbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 213.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 62c | 211.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 202.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.