TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,904 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c12,311$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,977.726,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over72c1,982$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Over61c1,953$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.456048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Under40c1,652$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.4434628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c1,591$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.42,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over80c1,354$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.981457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over77c1,252$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.771,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Over74c1,160$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.43161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under28c1,025$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.1650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Over74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over80c988$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.430645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under80c772.14$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.443759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over72c713.56$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.774656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c541.78$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c536.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.521,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over73c515.18$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.771376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c499.78$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over72c495.71$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.913839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over60c488$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.84969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over11c473.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.064938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over74c467.72$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over74c455.56$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.121030%3 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over73c329.28$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.033259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…df82backed Under50c310.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c299.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over74c275.63$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9730059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over74c266.05$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8842240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over74c265.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.682828.6%8 W · 20 L-9.1wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-54.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over48c224.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4310634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2559…053bbacked Over72c218.42$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e0b…7421backed Under41c208.54$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+222.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a36…5eabbacked Over72c204.44$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under27c183.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over61c180.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.212744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over47c177.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.272138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.483324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-48.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under36c151.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Under28c149.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc0…65a2backed Over75c137.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.271258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad41…2bb4backed Over74c133.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over75c131.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4815560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over69c130$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1428654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.82250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under28c123.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8510827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under27c122.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3729855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over73c114.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6259445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over71c108.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Under22c108.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.496043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over75c105.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.825057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.413865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747045.7%32 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5655654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over73c98.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8260%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over13c96.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5110459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under28c95.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8910147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under38c94.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.452245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under31c88.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.321254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over60c81.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over69c80.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.589355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.831546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c79.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7740841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over72c72.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.966535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Over60c71.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.941540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Under28c67.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2041backed Over73c67.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over73c63.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.245459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…1822backed Over74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.291560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda91…442bbacked Over72c58.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over24c54.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1936545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under29c50.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.832763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3714258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over72c49.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.410751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under27c47.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.813846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Over60c47.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.35345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Over73c47.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4316946.2%78 W · 91 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over73c44.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.325855.2%32 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over60c43.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.223240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Over73c40.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.518548.2%41 W · 44 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0089…1a15backed Over73c40.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over74c37.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under41c36.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over72c32.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5218961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over61c31.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.533743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6c…e22bbacked Over74c29.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over72c27.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6613149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over61c27.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…65c0backed Over73c26.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over74c26.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.697751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d8…be73backed Over75c26.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over75c26.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.712968.2%88 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c25.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7654340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over74c19.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.778362.7%52 W · 31 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over73c19.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3615444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0be3…0893backed Over61c19.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.