Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d85799d542aaaab211fcac626114685e400ffdc68724a28559933e7726a0122

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	24c	6,354$1,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,841.93	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	37c	4,424$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,783.75	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	10c	2,802$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,513.28	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over	51c	2,000$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.99	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	62cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over	60c	1,659$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.16	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under	11c	1,506$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340.3	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	46c	1,050$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.83	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	51c	862.64$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.07	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba27…3f88backed Under	12c	591.55$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+175.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	64c	589.09$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.57	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	11c	480.25$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.33	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under	11c	415.5$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.16	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over	37c	392.31$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.31	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over	27c	355.63$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.61	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	58c	299.99$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.99	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	26c	299.78$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.94	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	49c	248.51$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.1	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad41…2bb4backed Over	50c	244.86$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.66	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under	11c	227$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.99	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over	37c	223.84$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+99.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Over	31c	202.18$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.34	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under	51c	197.46$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.93	158	58.2%92 W · 66 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed Under	65c	187.77$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.82	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under	11c	172.11$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.18	189	61.9%117 W · 72 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under	11c	172.11$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.18	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over	12c	161.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over	29c	157.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.47	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under	11c	135.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.8	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	26c	133.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.23	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	11c	132.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.31	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Over	77c	127.77$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.63	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	50c	114$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Under	27c	113.29$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.69	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+130.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0454…859ebacked Under	66c	108.27$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.74	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2439…7cb3backed Over	44c	104.91$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.01	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	40c	103.8$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.02	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8743…9591backed Under	11c	102.23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+290.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under	40c	96.69$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.14	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+5.5wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	44c	96.28$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.53	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Over	56c	96.1$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.45	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3708…7c65backed Over	28c	85.91$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over	48c	84.75$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.28	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	63c	82.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.61	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over	50c	73$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	25	32%8 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under	24c	71.48$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over	42c	65.52$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over	24c	60.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	109	39.4%43 W · 66 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	55c	49.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.69	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	61c	48.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.3	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over	62c	47.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Under	42c	43.11$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	46c	42.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over	66c	38.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.47	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-5.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under	45c	35.4$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over	45c	32.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Over	50c	29.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over	69c	28.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	69c	28.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	284	56.7%161 W · 123 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3182…200abacked Under	53c	27.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Under	68c	27.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0b56…53c9backed Over	77c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Under	56c	19.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.66	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	61cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event