Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c3aedfb803c1834b4bf1e52e9009b96cc56a318d52c9a0b52c71705d16b37f0

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,041 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes	32c	6,399$2,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,047.67	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	67c	6,003$4,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,980.24	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	36c	1,738$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.77	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes	46c	1,615$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.94	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed No	57c	1,291$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.49	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed No	68c	617.33$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	75cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	31c	507.32$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.27	236	32.2%76 W · 160 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed No	55c	459.96$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.98	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes	25c	415.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.73	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…0104backed No	66c	355.11$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.74	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked No	55c	353.82$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.22	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed No	55c	353.82$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.22	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed No	55c	353.82$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.22	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes	45c	338.53$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.69	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed No	54c	337.93$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.45	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc54…cfbabacked No	54c	299.65$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.84	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+120.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No	65c	299.61$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.74	240	52.9%127 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	46c	299.13$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.27	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes	49c	284.88$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.59	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked No	55c	231.54$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.19	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes	46c	210.35$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.76	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4277…3154backed Yes	47c	205.92$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.78	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	29c	205.15$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.19	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	45c	202.87$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.64	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	46c	202.86$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.32	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No	54c	180.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.83	250	57.6%144 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked No	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked No	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes	45c	172$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2a…669ebacked Yes	45c	154.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.74	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	54c	154.91$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.46	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed Yes	46c	142.22$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.42	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes	24c	140.26$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.82	106	34%36 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes	46c	118.52$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.52	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	45c	110.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked No	54c	107.94$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.65	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes	50c	106.51$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.25	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x02dc…a212backed No	54c	106.24$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked No	54c	104.44$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No	48c	102.11$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.1	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	46c	101.85$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.85	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	48c	100.76$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.39	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed No	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked No	54c	99.04$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.56	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed No	54c	97.24$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.73	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes	14c	97.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked No	55c	88.45$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Yes	47c	84.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.7	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No	54c	74.55$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32b…c410backed No	55c	71.33$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.1	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes	48c	71.2$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.89	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed No	55c	70.76$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.84	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…c7f4backed Yes	46c	64.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	46c	62.83$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes	47c	61.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed No	55c	58.38$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.27	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-9.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	43c	55.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.17	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed No	55c	53.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed No	55c	51.3$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.09	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed No	73c	50.18$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	61cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed Yes	30c	49.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fe…627fbacked No	54c	45.02$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.71	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No	53c	43.66$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67df…5f86backed No	55c	39.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.72	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes	50c	37.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes	49c	36.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked No	55c	35.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.92	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed No	55c	35.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.92	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6026…3f98backed No	55c	35.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa223…0894backed No	70c	35.07$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked No	74c	33.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.65	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	72cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Yes	46c	31.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85db…9689backed No	55c	31.14$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes	50c	30.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed No	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes	47c	29.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd480…799ebacked No	54c	27.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed No	58c	26.89$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.29	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed No	55c	26.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	177	55.9%99 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…ccadbacked Yes	45c	23.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1f…18cebacked No	54c	22.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No	52c	21.38$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.26	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c8…1ed4backed No	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e92…d3d6backed No	68c	16.89$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.37	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event