TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3708…7c65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$17.16
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.54
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$9.34
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.1
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-76.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.