Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6259978b6c1bc9c6a45ad848e490f3b1e8676fe920aa8360edd5ea01b12deca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 65c | 7,777$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 12c | 5,031$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.87 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 4,438$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.3 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 25c | 3,088$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.11 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 2,589$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 57c | 1,463$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.12 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 36c | 1,413$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.7 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.86 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 1,015$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.56 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 35c | 1,000$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 6c | 870$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 5c | 724.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 36c | 559.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 55c | 536.09$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 37c | 410$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 37c | 341.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 48c | 294.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 54c | 293.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 247.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 182.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 55c | 159.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 64c | 155.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 64c | 155.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 137.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 36c | 104.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…9788backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Over | 71c | 95.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 65c | 79.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 65c | 79.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…0d91backed Under | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 36c | 60.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 19c | 59.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 37c | 54.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 37c | 54.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 75c | 44.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 58c | 40.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…7c65backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 36c | 32.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 64c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 80c | 13.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.