Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfddab332202414a52c114f2365f1a92b46f45ed091a87333e33666751633c36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 61c | 9,372$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 4,674$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.34 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 58c | 4,586$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.9 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 3,080$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.17 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 968.84$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.6 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Under | 73c | 812.5$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 512.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 42c | 441.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 41c | 346$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 77c | 220.77$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 165.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Under | 44c | 113.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 29cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 23c | 73.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 77c | 54.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…c418backed Under | 78c | 50.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 76c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 73 | 69.9%51 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.