Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3887d54783681377c612eb4745ed18b6b8ed8369f0aad50680eb4b50a0bb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 8,003$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 76c | 6,536$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 19c | 3,124$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.87 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 76c | 2,629$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 1,897$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 59c | 959.17$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.26 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 887.48$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.37 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 49c | 628.12$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 63c | 587.9$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 3c | 555.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 440$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 434.59$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 52c | 400.1$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 18c | 257.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Under | 41c | 255.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 59c | 253.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 41c | 231.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 196.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 21c | 143.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 59c | 129.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Under | 77c | 124.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 58c | 104.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…2819backed Over | 50c | 99.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 41c | 95.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 35c | 95.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 21c | 81.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 21c | 78.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 77.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 59c | 65.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 69c | 59.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 58c | 49.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Under | 77c | 45.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 58c | 45.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 30c | 45.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…dbe0backed Under | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…e941backed Over | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…13febacked Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…386fbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 60c | 27.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 25.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 79c | 23.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 71c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…432ebacked Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 78c | 17.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…efd1backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.