Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423ac932c6a5cecad0857c89bf179c8746d9cce3494229a645019e76cf823007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed No | 61c | 6,514$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.66 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 3,983$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.94 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 26c | 2,003$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.94 | 154 | 33.8%52 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,959$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.12 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 830 | 63%523 W · 307 L | +113.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 1,274$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.49 | 986 | 45.6%450 W · 536 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 71c | 623.08$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.12 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 51c | 602.18$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 40c | 520.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 35c | 422.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 41c | 313$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 47c | 297.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 36c | 271$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked No | 53c | 232.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed No | 52c | 211.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 47c | 181.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 48c | 166$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 26c | 135$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 134.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 660 | 32.9%217 W · 443 L | -32.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 51c | 102.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 49c | 87.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1,019 | 51.6%526 W · 493 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 26c | 83.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 50c | 79.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 38c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 40c | 43.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked No | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed No | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 52c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…5e1fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 652 | 44.6%291 W · 361 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 59c | 23.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 54c | 20.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.