Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98406b95c249481210bf26b97eecde6a47939eb272f7769ba3ce0ea6b2a4a131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Over | 80c | 31,621$25,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,297.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 66cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 28,025$11,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,823.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…99ffbacked Over | 0c | 20,655$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under | 53c | 16,976$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,975.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 11,825$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 49c | 10,646$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,441.24 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 9,960$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,972.8 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 20c | 9,892$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,930.7 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Under | 61c | 6,574$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 63c | 5,808$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 21c | 4,689$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 48c | 4,441$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 20c | 4,307$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.43 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 49c | 4,211$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Under | 75c | 3,636$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Under | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 49c | 3,150$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.63 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 76c | 3,025$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.78 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 2,943$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.78 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 35c | 2,764$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.07 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 80c | 2,600$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Under | 60c | 2,328$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 1,982$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.04 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 77c | 1,956$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.02 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 50c | 1,949$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 48c | 1,800$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 76c | 1,512$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.39 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 76c | 1,512$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.39 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 48c | 1,457$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 22c | 1,389$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.89 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 988.68$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Over | 21c | 967.17$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.81 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 62c | 956.55$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 78c | 954.56$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.56 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked Over | 61c | 949.98$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 29c | 935.4$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.61 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 885.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 864.57$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.91 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 861.66$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 825.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…a98dbacked Over | 34c | 591.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Under | 77c | 571.83$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 552.12$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.52 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 493.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked Under | 72c | 462.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 47c | 458.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffa…767fbacked Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 47c | 428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…d4d6backed Over | 43c | 427.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 409.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 73c | 409.17$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 22c | 405$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over | 63c | 376.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 21c | 376.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.42 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 375.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Over | 79c | 374.64$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 20c | 366.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.89 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 359.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 48c | 342.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 40c | 342.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…94aebacked Over | 80c | 340$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 322$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 51c | 306.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 20c | 299.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 38c | 295$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 43c | 276.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 52c | 260.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 16c | 257$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…c82cbacked Over | 67c | 256.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Under | 50c | 244$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Over | 62c | 240$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…8258backed Under | 80c | 237.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Under | 21c | 230$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 225$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.