Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881d8396cf88b8e7ea4140f779d1dfdc2945cc8f95d29add13a1f53565866fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 27,297$15,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,646.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 16,251$6,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,939.84 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 52c | 3,807$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.05 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 2,916$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 2,495$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.18 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 2,166$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.93 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.97 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 1,986$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.03 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked No | 78c | 1,789$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,737$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Yes | 58c | 1,439$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…6d99backed Yes | 44c | 1,379$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,275$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 46c | 833.32$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.17 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 45c | 640$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 61c | 516.48$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 491.7$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.93 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 53c | 490.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed No | 46c | 485$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 474.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 56c | 473.78$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.06 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 429.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 58c | 427.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Yes | 58c | 401.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…5c16backed Yes | 59c | 389.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 386.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 42c | 378.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.68 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed No | 75c | 360.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 60c | 332.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 307.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 54c | 294.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 47c | 268.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 39c | 257.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 56c | 244.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 43c | 231.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 230.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed No | 43c | 228.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…99adbacked No | 43c | 228.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…d126backed Yes | 60c | 207.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 58c | 203.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 24c | 203.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…4bd8backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Yes | 59c | 169.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…3b28backed Yes | 58c | 166.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 23c | 163.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 44c | 159.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…a70dbacked Yes | 53c | 158.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 13c | 154.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 42c | 151.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 136.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 57c | 132.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 43c | 122.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…98e3backed Yes | 26c | 109.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 56c | 107.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked No | 44c | 102.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…636cbacked Yes | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 58c | 100.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…37b3backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 59c | 98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 68c | 96.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…13d4backed Yes | 44c | 94.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 58c | 85.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…dcbfbacked Yes | 58c | 78.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 47c | 74.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…71e1backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 16c | 67.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…5c05backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 46c | 63.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…dc9bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…d1efbacked Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…7399backed Yes | 46c | 56.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Yes | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…3202backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a93fbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 54c | 49.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.