TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5ed…7399

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT7443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$41.69
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.43
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$23.67
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$24.95
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+295.3%+$64.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$28.7
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.75
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$17.21
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$21.34
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+27.4%+$17.45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+67.6%+$22.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39.1%+$7.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$13.62
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+67.2%+$10.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.