TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof JD Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$748,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$825,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Top Esports45c200,320$90,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,184.2455955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed JD Gaming55c113,403$62,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,209.427735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed JD Gaming55c55,175$30,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,299.9827637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb42f…900bbacked JD Gaming45c45,000$20,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,349.942853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked JD Gaming57c30,684$17,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,417.8767760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports42c26,870$11,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,559.461,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Top Esports56c20,586$11,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,093.3315356.9%87 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked JD Gaming54c19,708$10,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,681.1214448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed JD Gaming55c17,239$9,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,481.5953750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Top Esports44c17,121$7,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dea…e9debacked JD Gaming56c14,118$7,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,926.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Top Esports46c12,422$5,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,748.5537640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Top Esports45c12,086$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,686.9985836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports45c11,157$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,125.891,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0b…6583backed JD Gaming56c10,699$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00012142.1%51 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports42c8,521$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.061,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Top Esports46c8,456$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.2413632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed JD Gaming30c6,911$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.1451044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed JD Gaming54c5,887$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2007758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Top Esports46c5,500$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97017133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Top Esports46c5,171$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.111,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Top Esports43c5,166$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.6218953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed Top Esports33c5,062$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.3631644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked JD Gaming58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed Top Esports39c5,000$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.6418633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked JD Gaming54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9830945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed JD Gaming55c4,629$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.717851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Top Esports44c4,260$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.6646637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports45c4,160$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.7947533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Top Esports43c4,070$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.6689943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked JD Gaming54c4,038$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.2912557.6%72 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Top Esports46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16054756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed JD Gaming55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2007450%37 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports45c4,000$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.981,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…77f1backed Top Esports38c3,972$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.391154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed JD Gaming76c3,630$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.6845366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Top Esports54c3,614$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.1923252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked JD Gaming1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Top Esports43c3,500$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.9932234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed JD Gaming6c3,500$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.542924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked JD Gaming53c3,492$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.5196048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e2…25eabacked JD Gaming54c3,470$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.911342.5%48 W · 65 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed JD Gaming59c3,390$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.6512052.5%63 W · 57 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Top Esports46c3,333$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.821,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…71d0backed JD Gaming53c3,333$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.911844.1%52 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Top Esports38c3,200$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.829248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Top Esports70c3,074$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.5567276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Top Esports33c3,012$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.2121828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked JD Gaming57c3,000$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.9615457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Top Esports45c2,790$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.271057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Top Esports44c2,763$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.0417933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Top Esports45c2,737$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.5142455%233 W · 191 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed JD Gaming55c2,700$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.986053.3%32 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc542…beffbacked Top Esports45c2,680$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.046563.1%41 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Top Esports43c2,672$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.0467250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Top Esports44c2,386$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.1735353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked JD Gaming9c2,379$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21875630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Top Esports40c2,329$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.125236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Top Esports45c2,300$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2651,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Top Esports44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.8827447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Top Esports47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1667848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed JD Gaming59c2,193$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.2817150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Top Esports33c2,148$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.0448533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming53c2,043$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.511,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed JD Gaming20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Top Esports45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Top Esports44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12048448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed JD Gaming1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed JD Gaming55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9946257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked Top Esports46c1,980$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.66753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Top Esports46c1,961$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.7360354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Top Esports45c1,945$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.517754.5%42 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed JD Gaming54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9831337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…ac20backed JD Gaming64c1,844$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.541127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+89.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked JD Gaming55c1,826$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Top Esports39c1,803$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.5628642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29f…0b9bbacked Top Esports46c1,796$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Top Esports46c1,697$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.381,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed JD Gaming78c1,696$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.2522640.7%92 W · 134 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed JD Gaming60c1,666$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010938.5%42 W · 67 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked JD Gaming61c1,659$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.571,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked JD Gaming64c1,656$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.2553355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f4…567dbacked JD Gaming58c1,645$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.193461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked JD Gaming56c1,620$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.0134536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf909…f517backed Top Esports45c1,557$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29b…96adbacked JD Gaming66c1,513$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016366.3%108 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed JD Gaming1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed JD Gaming1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Top Esports25c1,500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.996258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed JD Gaming54c1,418$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.8866458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Top Esports52c1,417$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.471,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d38…f0c7backed JD Gaming58c1,403$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.913863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked JD Gaming55c1,390$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.6878050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b36…b103backed JD Gaming55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013360.2%80 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb97b…87dcbacked Top Esports46c1,362$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.9714654.8%80 W · 66 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked JD Gaming57c1,292$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.3596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa5…a15abacked JD Gaming55c1,279$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Top Esports33c1,273$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.1347933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed JD Gaming55c1,273$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a88…4c59backed JD Gaming57c1,262$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.744156.1%23 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.