TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof JD Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,417 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked JD Gaming38c4,842$1,822 inLost-$1,821.767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Top Esports62c4,410$2,734 inWon+$1,675.721144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Top Esports77c3,405$2,635 inWon+$770.1615146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed JD Gaming23c3,376$777 inLost-$776.5524735.2%87 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3879…489fbacked Top Esports63c1,569$989 inWon+$580.571070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked JD Gaming36c1,231$443 inLost-$443.0144550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked JD Gaming38c1,019$387 inLost-$387.26930.4%21 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Top Esports64c938.41$600 inWon+$338.4110049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports60c573.5$344 inWon+$229.41,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Top Esports57c504$287 inWon+$217.2977949.9%389 W · 390 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Top Esports61c442.56$270 inWon+$172.64250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…6311backed JD Gaming40c312.75$125 inLost-$1251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked JD Gaming39c307.69$120 inLost-$12063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked JD Gaming43c302.33$130 inLost-$1304746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed JD Gaming40c300.75$120 inLost-$12080732.8%265 W · 542 L-44.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Top Esports67c273.79$183 inWon+$90.3559554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed JD Gaming33c273.79$90 inLost-$90.3514335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed JD Gaming21c240.55$51 inLost-$5116038.1%61 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed JD Gaming17c239.99$41 inLost-$40.843348.7%211 W · 222 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Top Esports64c200$128 inWon+$7261256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Top Esports77c190.33$147 inWon+$43.1632755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed JD Gaming43c171.14$74 inLost-$73.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Top Esports64c150.48$96 inWon+$54.179962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Top Esports63c149.21$94 inWon+$55.2112341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed JD Gaming39c134.87$53 inLost-$52.632653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked JD Gaming38c134.21$51 inLost-$5130255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked JD Gaming38c131.58$50 inLost-$5044046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked JD Gaming38c101.89$39 inLost-$38.721,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Top Esports75c100$75 inWon+$2562649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed JD Gaming37c60$22 inLost-$22.28237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming25c43.36$11 inLost-$10.841,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c6…2f43backed Top Esports63c39.68$25 inWon+$14.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports63c38.52$24 inWon+$14.252,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4f…bedabacked Top Esports63c28.57$18 inWon+$10.571668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Top Esports61c25$15 inWon+$9.751,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4057…3e70backed Top Esports65c25$16 inWon+$8.752462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Top Esports64c18$12 inWon+$6.4814850.7%75 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.