Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f898395bb2e304e85b8a278541b9f84b6b912d4712a0ef12c96b1f92f488dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 76c | 10,000$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.52 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 24c | 8,966$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.51 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 24c | 6,514$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.24 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 76c | 3,237$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.42 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Over | 80c | 1,605$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 20c | 1,172$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 25c | 908.19$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Under | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.18 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…6ba2backed Under | 27c | 641.11$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Over | 76c | 552.63$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 76c | 549.5$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 25c | 480.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Over | 75c | 464.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…ba8cbacked Over | 75c | 430$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Over | 75c | 311.81$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 76c | 248.21$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 74c | 203.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…7dcabacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…fe1dbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 27c | 191.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 168.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…9f2cbacked Over | 75c | 158.69$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 77c | 150.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…ad70backed Over | 73c | 118.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 75c | 109.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 24c | 108$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 22c | 51.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…1efabacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 176 | 61.9%109 W · 67 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…3e70backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 74c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…38e5backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cec…d3abbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…684fbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd869…4c75backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.