TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof JD Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4523…0be0backed JD Gaming12c399.97$50 inLost-$5016038.1%61 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed JD Gaming33c240.43$78 inLost-$78.3214335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed JD Gaming19c200$38 inLost-$3820239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Top Esports71c199.98$142 inWon+$583560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Top Esports69c159.17$109 inWon+$49.8752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b2…0497backed JD Gaming29c116.03$34 inLost-$33.654240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed JD Gaming16c94.24$15 inLost-$14.6924650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed JD Gaming13c80.46$10 inLost-$10.4625143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed JD Gaming40c79.19$32 inLost-$31.951247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed JD Gaming32c61.64$20 inLost-$2028759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Top Esports64c50.56$32 inWon+$18.217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked JD Gaming50c40.16$20 inLost-$207054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports50c24.33$12 inWon+$12.172,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ef…bb1fbacked Top Esports75c22.67$17 inWon+$5.673946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.