TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dee…9f2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8746%40 W · 47 L-9.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.73
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$11.91
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$20.89
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.94
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.09
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$6.35
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$5.42
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$32.6
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.55
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.18
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.