TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under24c23,651$5,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,586.81,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under24c21,867$5,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,329.711,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under23c18,888$4,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,344.211,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Over77c18,353$14,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.9939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over76c15,880$12,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.291,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over75c14,663$11,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,646.2425342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over75c9,704$7,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.793253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under25c8,120$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.711,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under25c8,007$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.531,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under23c7,777$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.5823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under25c7,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.991,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c6,890$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.141,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over75c6,700$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Over77c3,155$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.6555844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over78c2,670$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.816456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under23c2,506$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3813137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over75c2,095$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.7317163.7%109 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over78c1,846$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.066858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under33c1,544$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.91,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over74c1,354$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0521946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9835…f8fdbacked Over75c1,304$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over78c1,290$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5828643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over77c1,215$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.186235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Over73c1,209$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4730160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…12cbbacked Over76c1,048$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24047047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b10…523bbacked Over77c1,000$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under24c956.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6611943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over76c933.32$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3359647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c900.24$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.432,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over77c879.83$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3674949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over76c797.14$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.381,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over69c700$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over77c675.99$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Over75c666.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.663030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Over76c661.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.923740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb785…b54abacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.034139%16 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over55c626.67$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.211,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ee…b868backed Under25c621.12$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.786256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Over75c591.44$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8660855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…e3e2backed Over75c565.3$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c4…989abacked Over77c560$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Under25c538.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.987455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over76c536.17$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.592556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over75c522$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.510546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41d7…c640backed Over77c520.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.615373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…ea73backed Over77c520$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4810253.9%55 W · 47 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Over75c502$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.52462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa17e…cfcdbacked Over77c501.54$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.354050%20 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Over75c501.35$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3411446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17f…fe84backed Under25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12524554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6f…ed21backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4a8…fea1backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under25c495.66$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.922,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Over75c493.33$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.339537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb1…ea72backed Over76c474.73$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.242035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb11…1b11backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over70c365.04$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.071,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over74c350$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under24c326.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Over77c320$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.747738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under22c315.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3132150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over75c311$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.752,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over75c306.66$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6610847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dea…8acfbacked Under33c306.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over76c299.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7224649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under25c290$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e1…8a22backed Over76c278.96$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.341656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under27c278.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.931,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over75c269.64$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6461256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6720957.4%120 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over77c258.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3166058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Under24c255$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under25c253.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0123946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Under24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010141.6%42 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over77c240.85$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.45949.2%29 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over76c210.41$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over76c205.26$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2628166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under25c200.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3779745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015341.8%64 W · 89 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4610034%34 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4435223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4833263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead7…cfe8backed Under25c199.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over76c196.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6218752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Over77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8128965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over77c171.08$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.478342.2%35 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.