TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe903…6adbbacked Over41c9,928$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,067.614060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Under59c7,808$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.336235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over35c7,676$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.638735.9%139 W · 248 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under65c7,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under65c4,700$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.131,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under60c3,989$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.61,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over35c3,101$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.311,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.95560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189d…5561backed Under65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Over40c759.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004450%22 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under62c717.9$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0238640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under61c717.07$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8822748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under57c699.98$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.991,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under53c667.66$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9248944.4%217 W · 272 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6f…ed21backed Over46c600$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2733259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under65c598.46$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4639755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c552.25$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.512,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dea…8acfbacked Over56c538.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over39c515.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under65c473.85$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8552046%239 W · 281 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under65c409$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1529045.5%132 W · 158 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over15c384$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.123,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under65c356.08$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.632,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over16c343.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.792,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under53c312.66$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7919553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under60c300.31$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1227447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…d175backed Over39c253.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.031553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under63c247.59$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.939253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c5…610fbacked Over41c246.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Over45c242.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.283644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over36c236.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.821944.3%97 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over35c233.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6142735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over34c232.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9232955.6%183 W · 146 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over13c220.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.872,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under61c215.9$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under63c203.34$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.341,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under47c200.5$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2562949.9%314 W · 315 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba42…27d2backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7022748.9%111 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610253.9%55 W · 47 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under61c184.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.891250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c182.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under60c174$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9456144.6%250 W · 311 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Over35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over35c142.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.973540%14 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under59c140.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.641343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over36c138.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9557451.4%295 W · 279 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under45c135.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4713137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over54c125.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9863458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under78c120.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Over35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021257.5%122 W · 90 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Over38c110.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c106$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.410546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over17c101.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5841141.6%171 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359424.5%23 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over38c98.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.241,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c89.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Over52c77.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53de…409abacked Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3698…7160backed Under67c74.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.162080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521146%97 W · 114 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over52c57.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4148747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…ff90backed Over58c51.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-63%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065954.5%359 W · 300 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc086…692ebacked Over32c50.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.287945.6%36 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under63c50.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6427856.5%157 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.524649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9a…dbe1backed Under63c47.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.544841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028959.9%173 W · 116 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Over35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under66c41.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446952.2%245 W · 224 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under64c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.637650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7752…8681backed Over40c37.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519063.7%121 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…7bdabacked Over39c36.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over39c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439748.6%193 W · 204 L+28.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over53c32.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8357349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe092…359fbacked Under66c25.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.537866.7%52 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Under63c24.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2257655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over45c22.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0930731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.861,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cc…949ebacked Under66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over54c19.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5766558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.