Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c78f66a838f37a57e867735842b869b97edbd69316877fbd5c789ef3b3c4600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Over | 41c | 9,928$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.6 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…cec1backed Under | 59c | 7,808$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.33 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 35c | 7,676$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.6 | 387 | 35.9%139 W · 248 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 65c | 4,700$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.13 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 60c | 3,989$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.6 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 35c | 3,101$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.31 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Over | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Under | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Over | 40c | 759.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 62c | 717.9$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 61c | 717.07$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 57c | 699.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 53c | 667.66$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 489 | 44.4%217 W · 272 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…ed21backed Over | 46c | 600$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 65c | 598.46$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 552.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dea…8acfbacked Over | 56c | 538.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 39c | 515.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 65c | 473.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 520 | 46%239 W · 281 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 65c | 409$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 290 | 45.5%132 W · 158 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 15c | 384$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 65c | 356.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 343.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 53c | 312.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 60c | 300.31$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…d175backed Over | 39c | 253.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 63c | 247.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…610fbacked Over | 41c | 246.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Over | 45c | 242.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 36c | 236.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 35c | 233.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Over | 34c | 232.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 329 | 55.6%183 W · 146 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 220.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 61c | 215.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 203.34$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 47c | 200.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…27d2backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 61c | 184.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 182.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under | 60c | 174$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 561 | 44.6%250 W · 311 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Over | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 35c | 142.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 59c | 140.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 36c | 138.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 574 | 51.4%295 W · 279 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 45c | 135.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 54c | 125.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 78c | 120.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Over | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 17c | 101.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 38c | 98.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 89.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Over | 52c | 77.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…409abacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Under | 67c | 74.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 52c | 57.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…ff90backed Over | 58c | 51.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 659 | 54.5%359 W · 300 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…692ebacked Over | 32c | 50.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 63c | 50.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Under | 63c | 47.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 59.9%173 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 66c | 41.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 64c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Over | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 63.7%121 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…7bdabacked Over | 39c | 36.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 397 | 48.6%193 W · 204 L | +28.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 53c | 32.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 66c | 25.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 63c | 24.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 45c | 22.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…949ebacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 54c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.