TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
T1of Hanwha Life Esports, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Hanwha Life Esports12c6,596$791 inLost-$791.481,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Hanwha Life Esports11c1,084$119 inLost-$119.291,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Hanwha Life Esports7c804.38$56 inLost-$56.3147047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed T175c509.01$381 inWon+$128.4897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Hanwha Life Esports12c501.32$60 inLost-$60.1667549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Hanwha Life Esports8c493.63$38 inLost-$37.6696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Hanwha Life Esports13c307.69$40 inLost-$407455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Hanwha Life Esports12c293.53$34 inLost-$34.4313137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Hanwha Life Esports11c284.13$31 inLost-$31.2510449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed T177c249.99$192 inWon+$57.516546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Hanwha Life Esports32c151.47$49 inLost-$48.711,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Hanwha Life Esports12c121.2$15 inLost-$14.5479745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Hanwha Life Esports24c100$24 inLost-$2421859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa233…af5bbacked Hanwha Life Esports23c95.65$22 inLost-$2210639.6%42 W · 64 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Hanwha Life Esports23c57.08$13 inLost-$13.131,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed T178c40.61$32 inWon+$9.091,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed T179c31$24 inWon+$6.5910150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed T179c17.07$13 inWon+$3.583033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed T178c15.38$12 inWon+$3.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.