TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c11,339$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.2755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2935…f719backed Under46c7,676$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c6,194$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.3365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under45c5,220$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.7929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.991,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under47c4,287$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0155940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under59c4,251$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.821258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8405347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over54c3,889$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.9417055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under40c3,670$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.9411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over54c3,603$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.461,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over55c2,864$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.644264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c2,532$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.442,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,373$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c2,211$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under25c2,005$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.22,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over55c1,292$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.392356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over54c1,285$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.5121957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,225$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under46c1,120$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under31c1,073$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9120838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over42c1,065$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.75540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over51c1,060$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.3168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over54c1,002$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.464742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under25c952.83$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over54c850$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3917054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over65c832.1$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.161,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36827246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c784.17$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.881,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.292871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over54c725.7$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8210149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x384c…2f59backed Over54c653.7$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.71080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c604.8$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.411242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c578$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c540.45$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c499.94$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9711437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under45c489.7$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.641,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over52c481.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.065257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbc…ccc1backed Over55c454.64$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.649048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under45c452.26$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under45c446.78$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0516743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c439.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.942,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over75c402.27$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over55c390.69$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8118650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under46c380$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.83357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Over54c365.52$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.145543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a22…3652backed Over55c354.24$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over55c348.18$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.689652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c348$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over35c316$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under5c305.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.262,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415048%24 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over55c300$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under48c287.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over54c277.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4924159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over54c274.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0413938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7311450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under47c261.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9721843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Over54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.69454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over35c232$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7513036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over33c225$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.227150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c220.25$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.273,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.224955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Under47c216.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.687243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c210.75$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Under46c203.24$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.494434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over54c203$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3814049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over54c201$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.462171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9030641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c199.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.411858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over35c190$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.940440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over54c184.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2325360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over54c182.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9512254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Over54c182$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.728354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.828043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over45c175.45$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Over64c172.12$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.122755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over35c169$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over54c164.65$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.748654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b6…ef54backed Over55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.643351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2922844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Over36c158$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.76524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c156.83$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.071,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.