NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59226f6b7d3b1ba0a0e50e092d063d5d43218efa418db42ceb49751afc53a873
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 932.22$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 53c | 560.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 49c | 359.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Over | 51c | 359.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 52c | 212.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 183.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 18c | 136.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Over | 52c | 101.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…2b7bbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 52c | 75.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 66.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…e67dbacked Under | 53c | 54.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…1cfdbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Over | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Under | 55c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5this page
- 76ers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.