NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b212d11c019289d6b047d7e2d7a375686ce348c14daaf78e5e40121bcdcf80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof 76ers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Knicks | 66c | 2,940$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.59 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Knicks | 67c | 2,075$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.45 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 76ers | 34c | 1,934$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.51 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked 76ers | 35c | 1,568$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.3 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Knicks | 65c | 1,269$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.84 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked 76ers | 34c | 993.56$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.81 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Knicks | 77c | 912.22$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed 76ers | 34c | 732.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed 76ers | 27c | 553.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers | 34c | 472.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Knicks | 67c | 427.29$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked 76ers | 36c | 389.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed 76ers | 33c | 306.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed 76ers | 27c | 299.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Knicks | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Knicks | 74c | 271.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 76ers | 22c | 267.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 33c | 253.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Knicks | 70c | 228.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed 76ers | 32c | 213.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Knicks | 67c | 202$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked 76ers | 28c | 174.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked 76ers | 19c | 139.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed 76ers | 33c | 126$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Knicks | 74c | 102.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed 76ers | 39c | 102.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Knicks | 69c | 99.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed 76ers | 29c | 87.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Knicks | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Knicks | 70c | 76.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Knicks | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…6cf5backed 76ers | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed 76ers | 34c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…6555backed 76ers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 76ers | 32c | 51.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 76ers | 22c | 46.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked 76ers | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Knicks | 66c | 42.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 32c | 33.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Knicks | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Knicks | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 76ers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.