TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$735,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$858,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $735,984 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c200,000$102,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,999.7632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over49c101,406$49,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,716.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over49c91,725$44,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,947.091,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over49c60,935$29,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,178.6134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under52c54,016$28,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,088.4817251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c29,179$14,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,881.297650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Over49c25,153$12,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,828.065655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c21,308$10,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,866.911,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over38c20,172$7,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,506.834951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Under8c19,999$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd8…7867backed Under51c16,755$8,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,545683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fa8…e9abbacked Over49c14,631$7,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,461.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed Over49c13,000$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,630850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under61c11,856$7,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,275.1452052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c10,070$5,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,133.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ae…0f2dbacked Under52c8,238$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,28410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e2…8433backed Under51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under57c7,642$4,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,326.941,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over49c6,386$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.7119359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over48c5,500$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.963951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under5c5,209$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9138434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under50c4,766$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.8437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Over49c4,468$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.862560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over49c4,463$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.277054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under48c4,416$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c4,257$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.839447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over49c4,129$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.8914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under4c3,999$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9712945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under50c3,962$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under51c3,878$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.715345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c3,755$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.043,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c3,523$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.0864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x384c…2f59backed Over48c3,469$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.961080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Under52c3,445$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.291747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over49c3,243$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.0456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under51c3,235$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.8613750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c3,083$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.8955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over55c3,000$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34544252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4703345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c2,517$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over43c2,340$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.5711034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c2,279$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.861,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under49c2,261$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.1230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over64c2,206$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over48c2,130$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.4516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under52c2,106$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c2,086$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over50c2,068$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.9125945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over49c1,750$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,572$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76518044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over57c1,481$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.812540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c1,422$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.2218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067d…1ceebacked Under52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c1,141$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.4532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over70c1,118$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.261,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under40c1,092$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.0968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c1,090$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under46c1,081$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under3c1,064$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Under52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5464264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over49c1,030$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.311757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Over49c1,016$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.926352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40018844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c999.96$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Under10c984.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.365056%28 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c933$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over48c919.97$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.382171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over49c870.71$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.065839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over49c820$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.218643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over49c820$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.216849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.331250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c777.21$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.441,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked Over48c764$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over66c760.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over49c751.52$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.57835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.644742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c692.24$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.243348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c682$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.11,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over49c648.98$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9817344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c634.92$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.531,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Under65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over49c609.34$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.786048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over50c587.68$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.843636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c567.71$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c560$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over50c557.86$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.938354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Under52c546.71$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.298345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over50c511.6$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.823652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.