NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706d752f4cc56555810f07e024b94a7c9e6d7fce8f96287ccd8d63007f0aa3be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c55…98ffbacked Yes | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 55c | 3,985$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 55c | 3,549$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.9 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 44c | 943.48$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.35 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 56c | 883.66$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.85 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Yes | 45c | 614.53$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed No | 57c | 285.56$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes | 42c | 242.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 50c | 230.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed No | 50c | 198.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Yes | 50c | 188.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 56c | 175.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 44c | 155.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 44c | 134.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked No | 62c | 115$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 117 | 66.7%78 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…9847backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 55c | 86.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 54c | 73.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 42c | 72.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…61a1backed Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed No | 56c | 35.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked No | 58c | 34.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked No | 58c | 18.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 76ers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.