TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under52c40,130$20,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,73816846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c21,270$10,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,060.2569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over51c19,519$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,519.39945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c14,934$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.661,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under47c12,250$5,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,773.1537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c10,279$6,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f1…6e87backed Under49c10,265$5,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over50c7,702$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.3134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c6,775$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.061,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c6,731$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.777963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over51c6,090$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.123047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c5,361$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.2155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Over51c5,301$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.142360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under48c4,631$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.0728241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c3,487$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.5664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9938434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,708$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2504445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over50c2,490$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.9889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c2,309$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over50c2,259$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.341,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c1,903$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.6365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Under49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.771625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,857$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over52c1,670$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.1544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c1,484$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,456$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7282,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Under49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68611335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over51c1,280$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.397054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under41c1,239$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.0611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over51c1,181$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.742,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,167$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c1,119$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.3366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over52c1,096$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1519359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Over51c1,072$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.243256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x384c…2f59backed Over51c986.27$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.271080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c982.25$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c965$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.361,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under49c894.85$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.4716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c839.99$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under43c697.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over52c692.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.3128838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over51c646.41$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.746053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2946031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over67c593.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.377146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under11c593.12$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.831,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Over50c560$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Over52c530$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c499.94$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under43c490.3$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over51c464.43$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5712548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over52c444$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.124738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over52c430$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c407.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.011,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over66c400.38$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.768942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under48c399.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9916750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over57c385.77$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7520838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6211558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under12c383.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.862,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under43c378.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over51c319.5$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5539055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under47c309.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.611,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c302.33$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c299.98$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9925559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under41c295.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.071,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over50c290$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c249.41$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.211,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over51c247.75$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Under42c216.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.744544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9615336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4812…8f34backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9832957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9430641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over50c198.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.764742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under49c195.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under50c192.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.268354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5722844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c169.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over52c164$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over61c161.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over68c152.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6623741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Over51c146.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.696749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over54c141.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9814845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under42c133.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.191,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c127$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over64c120.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.175036%18 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.636749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.