TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under50c25,728$12,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,871.441,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked Over50c7,578$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7892556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under44c7,014$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.032,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed Over50c6,000$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.21650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf681…9b77backed Over50c5,175$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.52030%6 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c5,105$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.051,20643.5%525 W · 681 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c4,727$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.262,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over50c4,207$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.225242.5%107 W · 145 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Over49c3,601$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.466434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Over50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75021765.4%142 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under56c3,000$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.0823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over50c2,726$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.221844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over50c2,610$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3058929.2%26 W · 63 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over50c2,259$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.521440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Over51c2,153$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.8411538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed Over50c1,920$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over50c1,678$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.2216933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over49c1,619$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.181,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over45c1,517$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.4110237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed Over49c1,440$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over49c1,228$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.6997254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Under52c1,164$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.1719644.9%88 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over44c1,044$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2411561.7%71 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under62c1,041$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.271,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51053753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over48c967.74$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.521,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under55c942.47$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.1152045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Over50c871.08$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c840$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.822748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under50c821.87$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.213351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005042%21 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over39c794.04$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.442,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under51c787.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7412341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Over51c742.24$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under59c718.68$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.361,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c687.77$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.62,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over50c687.37$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8111344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over50c687.04$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5241343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over21c672.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5219553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over54c661.11$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3577334.2%25 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over51c654.01$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.743,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over54c649$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.086235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Over50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under29c639.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5216819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed Over72c638.58$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.614042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under48c637.46$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.491,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over51c636.92$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6716456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c623.42$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.262,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c600$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8521150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Over48c595.52$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under47c590.23$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8224832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over44c554.66$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24428643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under44c488.23$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7337948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under75c483.91$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.281,16866.1%772 W · 396 L+69.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over49c466.35$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.951,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under56c438.53$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.711,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…a00fbacked Over46c422.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb785…b54abacked Over62c405.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504139%16 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over23c400.29$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.131,13331.1%352 W · 781 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1968852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb1…ea72backed Over35c385.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.632035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over50c371.44$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.722231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Under50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over40c339.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.172,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c330.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2538640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under51c306.92$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1932053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over52c299.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8960243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Over50c294.92$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4680%0 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.469352.7%49 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca51…0f4abacked Over50c285.86$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over49c273$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7729338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under41c242.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.171,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under56c234.09$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.912,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca09…5e81backed Over23c226.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under71c204.65$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3522165.6%145 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed Under51c204.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5916148.4%78 W · 83 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9631646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014841.2%61 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021647.2%102 W · 114 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008657%49 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9be1…9947backed Over50c192.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Under53c188.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.924746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under47c186$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.326051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over55c180.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under50c179.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.848045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under47c176.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.787030%21 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over49c165.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b3…934ebacked Over50c159.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Under18c156.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.972445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.