TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$607,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$697,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under50c93,291$46,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,645.426445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c89,748$44,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,882.1525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over48c75,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,999.91,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aef…db15backed Over47c71,789$33,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,048.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under53c43,916$23,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,275.4618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c40,982$21,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,186.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c30,518$14,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,568.621,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c27,164$14,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,320.7264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under52c20,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under53c18,072$9,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,578.295655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over47c16,584$7,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,789.351560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65010248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under51c13,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,63015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c8,621$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.7469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…f8e6backed Under53c8,030$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…ed19backed Under53c8,028$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c7,428$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over48c6,400$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,35020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18039265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.983345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked Over47c5,080$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c5,075$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c4,648$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c4,610$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.7155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over47c4,498$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c4,169$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c4,022$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06018444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over49c3,647$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9523742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.994050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over51c3,476$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9444252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,991$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c2,688$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.161,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under54c2,639$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.065269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c2,512$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.471,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over48c2,487$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.438641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under52c2,100$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.9835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under52c2,018$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over49c2,003$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.642748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,785$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under50c1,783$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.6211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under53c1,560$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over47c1,404$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.2628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Under51c1,367$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6971225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdeef…267abacked Under53c1,283$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over48c1,278$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under51c1,213$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.452441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under7c1,181$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.596141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Under53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.831668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over48c1,056$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.651866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,022$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.2250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.415435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over50c1,005$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.2514640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac15…dd90backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c995$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c991.14$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.5489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over56c898.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c876.99$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.581,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over47c861.94$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.838848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c855.13$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over54c821.18$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under50c819.07$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.543844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over49c806.12$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.127448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c771.32$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over47c750$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.514731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c732$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.841,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over51c725.76$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.6356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under53c715.34$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.1327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over48c715.07$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9617247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3f…50b1backed Over48c704.17$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c699.98$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Under50c666$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under53c641.5$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34022948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.38844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c629.07$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.192,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c617.86$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.571,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under52c609.61$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Under47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28215246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over49c599.63$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over48c556.84$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.513562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over49c520$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.27944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over48c519$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.884047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9146…6ab0backed Over47c478$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over49c474.16$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under50c439.12$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.566053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.