TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c1,486$698 inWon+$787.6150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db8…ae96backed Under53c1,381$732 inLost-$732.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c990.91$515 inLost-$514.8664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under7c750$55 inLost-$5578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under7c720$53 inLost-$52.880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over48c553.3$265 inWon+$2889628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under5c500$25 inLost-$2526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under33c417.72$136 inLost-$135.9625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed Under52c410.81$214 inLost-$213.621118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-67.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over48c410.81$197 inWon+$213.6220353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over56c357.56$200 inWon+$157.5652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under44c343.01$151 inLost-$150.9279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under5c221.98$11 inLost-$11.121242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.3325850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over49c204.79$100 inWon+$104.7928943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c117.72$59 inWon+$58.8637665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Over47c107.3$51 inWon+$56.352339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under53c99.99$53 inLost-$52.9919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c90.58$45 inLost-$45.292,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Under45c81.73$37 inLost-$36.785855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over55c79.73$44 inWon+$35.8830055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Under50c49.62$25 inLost-$255736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8606…28aebacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon+$20.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over48c40$19 inWon+$20.86150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce4…8f30backed Over47c38.28$18 inWon+$20.292850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c36.38$19 inLost-$19.281,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c31.21$15 inWon+$15.731,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2612…0eabbacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over47c25.27$12 inWon+$13.277437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.