NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb497cfb558dac0c11b5d384be4a7edbdf17d81892d786906ea8a259ff88a5077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Spurs | 23c | 17,569$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 72c | 12,472$9,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 25c | 10,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Thunder | 66c | 6,468$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.7 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 20c | 5,106$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.15 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Spurs | 29c | 4,746$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.75 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 69c | 3,980$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 41c | 2,957$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.78 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 77c | 2,838$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.81 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 78c | 2,824$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.23 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Thunder | 73c | 2,386$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Thunder | 65c | 2,261$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 27c | 2,203$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 28c | 2,200$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.89 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Spurs | 21c | 2,145$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 80c | 1,949$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 67c | 1,775$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.83 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spurs | 39c | 1,708$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,665$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.37 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed Spurs | 23c | 1,642$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 72c | 1,383$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.66 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 22c | 1,382$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.89 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spurs | 29c | 1,267$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.79 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,132$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.16 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Thunder | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Thunder | 65c | 997.53$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.23 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Spurs | 21c | 944.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 29c | 930.17$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 21c | 924.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Spurs | 22c | 888$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 28c | 885.07$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 21c | 860$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Thunder | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 41c | 799.98$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.19 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 77c | 791.08$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 65c | 752$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Thunder | 75c | 711.43$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs | 21c | 663.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder | 80c | 662.5$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Spurs | 19c | 662.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Thunder | 79c | 624.05$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs | 16c | 616.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Thunder | 79c | 614.82$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs | 44c | 592.64$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Spurs | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 21c | 539.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 74c | 532.98$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 37c | 525.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…b628backed Spurs | 33c | 515.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder | 71c | 508.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Thunder | 70c | 486.66$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…521ebacked Thunder | 65c | 485.7$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 21c | 478.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Spurs | 23c | 447.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Spurs | 31c | 435.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 63c | 415.94$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62d…c8ccbacked Spurs | 42c | 409.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Spurs | 21c | 404.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 68c | 391.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Thunder | 76c | 371.87$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 70c | 368.27$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs | 17c | 361.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 32c | 341.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Thunder | 78c | 339.86$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 78c | 322.76$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 64c | 300.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Thunder | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Spurs | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Spurs | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Thunder | 65c | 292.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 71c | 280.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 72c | 272.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 21c | 266.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Spurs | 23c | 262.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder | 77c | 254.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Thunder | 79c | 253.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6399…b12dbacked Thunder | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Thunder | 79c | 252.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Thunder | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Spurs | 27c | 237.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 66c | 227$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Spurs | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Thunder | 79c | 210.62$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Spurs | 47c | 207.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 78c | 200.02$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 72c | 195.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Thunder | 72c | 190.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…f22cbacked Thunder | 78c | 190$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Spurs | 22c | 179.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 33c | 176.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder | 78c | 175.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Thunder | 77c | 169.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Thunder | 60c | 152.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 60c | 150.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…b391backed Spurs | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Spurs | 47c | 139.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Spurs | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.