TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c13,848$7,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,044.1984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No46c11,424$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,188.5310244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes55c10,954$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No49c6,604$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.781,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No49c3,980$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.571,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No46c2,529$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.712,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed No49c2,082$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.123473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed Yes51c1,532$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.171118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-67.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No48c1,227$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.269348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed No51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.214731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes53c939.33$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No44c699.97$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes15c641$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Yes52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31212851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Yes15c591.43$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0a…e172backed Yes51c500.61$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes52c497.42$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.662334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd339…aea1backed Yes55c451.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No49c438.22$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No49c418$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1618748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No50c405$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Yes53c374.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Yes54c370.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes7c366.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.988783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No46c365.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8390863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Yes55c360.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd021…12b5backed No46c317.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.371060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505131.4%16 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a94…9e94backed Yes49c245.76$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes54c232.89$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12630055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No49c229.15$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.864156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked No49c208.15$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a12…cba0backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No48c200.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634f…30a7backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes51c195.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes51c175.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.673836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No54c163.4$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2418853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Yes52c158.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Yes52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe21c…3fd3backed Yes55c151.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-63.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No45c139.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7743752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Yes52c126.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5623130.3%70 W · 161 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes55c120.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed No47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.617551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…bc60backed Yes55c108.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes51c107.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd5…91d1backed Yes52c102.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5039864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9941227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No48c95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.436153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1142…57c3backed Yes54c92.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x044d…e6f7backed Yes55c90.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012256.6%69 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed No48c87.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7526147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked No50c84.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.262050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34b…9d48backed No49c82.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+84.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes52c69.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362552%13 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes51c69.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No46c67.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6811145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No46c67.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.319352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No48c66.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2719959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Yes50c60.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4619952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304030%12 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e44…9d02backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284a…8759backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes22c56.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+61.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Yes51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.058651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Yes57c52.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Yes56c51.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes51c48.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No46c48.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.237652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No45c48.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294e…4982backed Yes55c44.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8e…a62bbacked Yes53c43.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes49c38.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0111136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac2a…4543backed Yes53c37.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No47c37.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes54c37.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8606…28aebacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes54c35.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c5…cacbbacked Yes44c34.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94d…873dbacked Yes54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.