TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d60…453dbacked Over67c8,634$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.1824159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under34c5,616$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.771,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Under36c5,133$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.313455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Over64c4,608$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.697852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over73c4,427$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.4852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under37c2,804$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.515657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under29c2,252$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.846141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under34c2,153$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.081,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c2,060$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.061,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over67c1,851$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under34c1,683$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over63c1,671$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.2264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over64c1,568$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.7133749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c1,462$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.151,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under34c1,401$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under37c1,198$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.3612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c1,083$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under33c1,064$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over63c1,050$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.6713759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under37c1,033$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.381,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under30c1,008$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under37c940$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.87532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.722,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over69c797.22$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2218853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under38c753.21$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1412451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Under44c730.86$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.583151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4456…de08backed Over75c627.69$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.69850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under34c601.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Under30c574.85$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over63c551.42$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4221957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c477.24$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x485c…c6b3backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.194757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff6…521ebacked Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.547146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2716…f658backed Over73c412.84$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…7fd1backed Over64c400$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over74c395.82$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under11c376.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4227937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Under38c368.42$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Over75c306.77$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.774346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over73c296.12$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.952759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under17c290.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8511145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under35c280.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under33c249.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa576…dfefbacked Over63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+109.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9926…5d2cbacked Over65c232.43$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.431070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Over66c227.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.944546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over67c216.77$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.681,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c196.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under37c193.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2534…3484backed Under11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under32c179.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under32c178.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…d185backed Over57c169.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7315846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over64c156.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.912272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over63c142.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8610149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8740548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Under39c128.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under36c126.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c125.62$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4c…67e4backed Over63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.115550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under33c108.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over63c106.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.354445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Under38c101.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.725151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b58…c9c8backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+72%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356056.7%34 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under35c98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under36c94.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.521,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over65c92.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under19c90.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.139853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under37c86.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under35c85.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under36c83.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3af…6da8backed Over63c82.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb53…3d15backed Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under31c79.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9931953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over77c77.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.811782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over65c75.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7914359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over64c67.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3416261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Under22c59.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked Over62c54.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under43c53.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…d381backed Over65c53.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…b241backed Under35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8024…9ee8backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6233258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under40c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Under44c45.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205042%21 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa755…200ebacked Under39c43.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.